BMKG Prediksi Puncak Musim Hujan November 2024-Februari 2025
SEAToday.com, Jakarta - Badan Meteorologi, Klimatologi, dan Geofisika (BMKG) memprediksi bahwa puncak musim hujan untuk periode 2024/2025 akan terjadi antara November 2024 hingga Februari 2025. Kepala BMKG Dwikorita Karnawati menjelaskan puncak musim hujan ini akan bervariasi di beberapa wilayah Indonesia.
"Pada bulan November hingga Desember 2024, sejumlah wilayah diperkirakan akan mengalami puncak musim hujan," katanya di Jakarta, Minggu, 24 November 2024, dilansir Antara.
Wilayah tersebut meliputi sebagian Sumatera, pesisir selatan Pulau Jawa, serta Kalimantan. Dwikorita menyebut untuk periode Januari hingga Februari 2025, wilayah yang diprediksi akan mengalami puncak musim hujan, yakni Lampung, Jawa bagian utara, sebagian Sulawesi, Bali, NTB, NTT, serta sebagian besar Papua.
Deputi Klimatologi BMKG Ardhasena menambahkan bahwa hingga pertengahan November 2024, indeks El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) menunjukkan kecenderungan La Niña yang lemah.
"Di sisi lain, indeks Indian Ocean Dipole menunjukkan nilai negatif menuju kondisi netral," katanya.
Ardhasena menambahkan kondisi ini berpotensi mempengaruhi pola cuaca di Indonesia, di mana secara umum suhu muka laut Indonesia lebih hangat dari biasanya, yang berpotensi mendatangkan gangguan iklim basah hingga awal 2025.
Deputi Bidang Meteorologi BMKG Guswanto juga mengungkapkan terdapat dua bibit siklon tropis yang sedang berkembang di Samudra Hindia, yaitu Bibit Siklon Tropis 96S di sebelah barat daya Bengkulu dan Bibit Siklon Tropis 99B di sebelah barat Aceh.
"Kedua bibit siklon ini berpotensi memberikan dampak langsung maupun tidak langsung terhadap cuaca dan perairan di wilayah Indonesia bagian barat," ujarnya.
Dilanjutkan Guswanto, beberapa fenomena atmosfer seperti Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO), Gelombang Rossby, dan Gelombang Kelvin juga sedang aktif. Ia mengatakan fenomena ini dapat meningkatkan potensi cuaca ekstrem dalam beberapa pekan ke depan, seperti hujan lebat disertai kilat atau petir serta angin kencang.
BMKG mengimbau masyarakat untuk selalu waspada dan melakukan antisipasi dini terhadap potensi cuaca ekstrem yang dapat terjadi.
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